Kazakhstan Bitcoin Hashrate Migration Calculator
Current Global Hashrate Distribution
United States: 35.4%
Kazakhstan: 14.8%
China: 12.0%
Canada: 9.6%
Russia: 4.7%
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Migration Impact Analysis
Enter values above and click "Calculate Impact" to see how hash rate migration affects global distribution.
When Bitcoin hash rate migration from Kazakhstan refers to the relocation of mining power out of Kazakhstan to other jurisdictions in 2025, the ripple effects hit every corner of the crypto ecosystem. Miners are pulling equipment, investors are re‑balancing portfolios, and policymakers are scrambling to keep the grid stable. This article breaks down what’s happening, why it matters, and where the industry is likely headed.
Key Takeaways
- Kazakhstan’s share of global Bitcoin hashrate fell from a peak of ~20% in 2021 to 14.8% in 2024.
- Regulatory pressure and grid instability triggered a wave of exits, highlighted by Canaan’s July 2025 departure.
- The United States now controls 35.4% of the network, widening the gap with Kazakhstan.
- Global hash rate hit 1.041billion TH/s in September2025, a 48.2% YoY increase.
- Future migration will likely target jurisdictions with reliable power and clear legal frameworks.
What Exactly Is a Hashrate Migration?
In plain language, a Bitcoin hash rate migration means miners move their computing rigs-mostly ASIC machines-from one country to another. The shift is usually measured in exahashes per second (EH/s) and directly changes the geographic distribution of the Bitcoin network’s security power.
The move is not just a logistical headache; it reshapes where Bitcoin’s proof‑of‑work security comes from, which in turn influences regulatory risk, energy demand, and even price dynamics. When a major hub like Kazakhstan starts losing capacity, other regions pick up the slack, often changing the political and economic balance of the mining sector.
A Quick History of Kazakhstan’s Mining Boom
Kazakhstan entered the mining scene in 2018, attracted by cheap coal‑fired electricity and surplus Soviet‑era generation capacity. By 2021 the nation had vaulted to second place globally, feeding roughly 20% of the network’s hash power. The epicenter was the Ekibastuz region, where massive farms ran 24/7 on low‑cost thermal plants.
That rapid growth came at a price: mining consumed about 7% of the country’s total electricity, sparking blackouts and public outrage. In late 2021 the government temporarily cut miners off the grid, forcing a wave of emergency relocations. Even after the pause, Kazakhstan held onto a respectable 14.8% share in 2024, but the foundation was shaky.
Why 2025 Became the Turning Point
Three forces converged in 2025 to accelerate the outflow:
- Regulatory tightening. New energy allocation rules earmarked only 30% of fresh thermal capacity for crypto mining, while the remaining 70% had to support the national grid. The first quarter also saw 15,800 unauthorized crypto transactions blocked, signaling a watchful stance.
- Grid instability. Frequent surges and rolling brownouts made continuous operation costly. Operators faced higher downtime penalties and increased maintenance on aging equipment.
- Operational economics. Rising global hash rate pushed mining difficulty to all‑time highs. To stay profitable, miners needed locations with lower electricity costs and predictable policy-places the United States and Canada increasingly offered.
These pressures culminated in the most visible exit: Canaan a leading ASIC manufacturer announced in July 2025 that it was pulling all Kazakhstan‑based rigs. The company’s hash contribution dropped from 6.67EH/s in May to 5.56EH/s two months later, shaving roughly 1.1EH/s off the global network.
Impact on the Global Hashrate Landscape
While Kazakhstan’s loss dented its own share, the overall network kept growing. On September72025 the Bitcoin hash rate topped 1.041billion TH/s, a 48.2% jump from the same date in 2024. This surge was driven mainly by new farms in the United States, a modest expansion in Canada, and a rebound in Iran after a brief pause.
Jurisdiction | Share (%) | Notes |
---|---|---|
United States | 35.4 | Largest stable‑grid hub |
Kazakhstan | 14.8 | Facing regulatory & grid pressure |
China | 12.0 | Capacity limited by crackdown |
Canada | 9.6 | Hydro‑rich, low‑cost power |
Russia | 4.7 | Cold climate, but policy‑uncertain |
Malaysia | 3.2 | Growing renewable mix |
Germany | 2.8 | Renewables driving niche farms |
Iran | 2.3 | Geopolitical volatility |
The table shows the widening gap between the United States and Kazakhstan. Even though Kazakhstan still holds a respectable slice, the trend is clear: miners are gravitating toward jurisdictions that promise stable power, transparent regulation, and lower risk of forced shutdowns.

Inside Canaan’s Exit: Numbers That Tell the Story
Canaan’s Kazakhstan fleet consisted of roughly 7,000 ASIC units, each delivering about 100TH/s. After the July 2025 pull‑out, the company reported mining 89BTC for the month, down from an average of 140BTC in the previous quarter. The drop wasn’t solely due to Kazakhstan; a concurrent exit from an under‑performing South Texas site compounded the loss.
Half of the offline rigs are slated to resume operation in new locations-primarily Texas and the Canadian Maritimes-by August 2025. The remaining units face a longer re‑deployment timeline as operators scout for sites with affordable renewable‑energy contracts.
Where Are Miners Going Next?
Four destinations are emerging as the most attractive alternatives:
- United States (Texas, Oklahoma, WestVirginia) - abundant wind/solar, pro‑mining policies, and a mature data‑center ecosystem.
- Canada (Quebec, Nova Scotia) - cheap hydroelectric power and clear regulatory guidance.
- Iran - low‑cost natural gas, though geopolitical risk remains high.
- Germany (Saxony) - renewable surplus and strong legal certainty, albeit at higher electricity rates.
Most miners are making strategic bets: they keep a smaller footprint in Kazakhstan to hedge against future policy shifts, while expanding in the United States for long‑term stability. This dual‑approach mirrors the behavior of institutional investors who spread hash power across several hubs to mitigate location‑specific risk.
Regulatory Landscape: What Kazakhstan Is Trying To Do
In response to the exodus, the Kazakh government rolled out a 70/30 energy allocation model. New thermal plants must feed 70% of their output into the national grid and only 30% to crypto mining. The intent is to protect civilian electricity supply while still monetising excess capacity.
Additionally, financial regulators tightened transaction monitoring, blocking over 15,800 illicit crypto transfers in Q12025 (about $3.07million). While these moves signal seriousness, critics argue they don’t go far enough to guarantee miners a reliable power contract.
Implications for Investors and the Broader Market
Hashrate growth is historically linked to Bitcoin’s price rallies - a larger, more secure network often precedes bullish cycles. The September2025 surge to 1.041billion TH/s suggests institutional confidence remains high, despite regional migrations.
For investors, the key takeaway is to watch where hash power concentrates. A shift toward the United States, Canada, or other low‑risk jurisdictions can be a leading indicator of where capital may flow next. Conversely, prolonged instability in a hub like Kazakhstan could dampen local crypto‑related economic benefits, even as the global network stays robust.
Future Outlook: Will Kazakhstan Lose Its Edge?
Predicting the next few years involves balancing two forces:
- Infrastructure upgrades. If Kazakhstan can lock in stable, renewable‑heavy power contracts and clarify its mining tax regime, it could retain a solid 10‑15% share.
- Geopolitical competition. Nations such as the United States are actively courting miners with tax incentives and streamlined permitting. This creates a “race to the bottom” on energy prices and regulatory clarity.
Most analysts agree the migration will continue, albeit at a slower pace. Rather than a dramatic collapse, we’ll see a gradual re‑balancing, with Kazakhstan staying in the top‑five mining jurisdictions but no longer battling for the No.2 spot.
Frequently Asked Questions
What caused the 2025 hash rate migration from Kazakhstan?
The migration was driven by tighter regulations on energy allocation, frequent grid blackouts, and the need for miners to stay profitable amid a rising global difficulty. These factors made other jurisdictions with stable power and clearer legal frameworks more attractive.
How much hash power did Canaan lose by leaving Kazakhstan?
Canaan’s hash contribution fell from 6.67EH/s in May2025 to 5.56EH/s in July2025, a reduction of about 1.1EH/s directly linked to the Kazakhstan withdrawal.
Which countries are gaining hash rate as Kazakhstan loses it?
The United States is the biggest beneficiary, now holding 35.4% of global hash rate. Canada, Iran, and Germany also saw modest gains, while China’s share continued to shrink due to regulatory crackdowns.
Will Kazakhstan’s new 70/30 energy policy help retain miners?
The policy signals a willingness to support mining, but it caps new mining capacity at 30% of fresh thermal generation. Miners will likely wait for concrete power‑purchase agreements before committing large‑scale investments.
How does hash rate migration affect Bitcoin’s price?
Hash rate growth usually precedes price rallies because it reflects higher network security and institutional confidence. Migration itself is neutral; it matters more where the extra hash power ends up. Concentration in stable jurisdictions tends to be bullish.
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